Nettsider med emneord «elections»
The Italian general elections are held on 25 September. A right-wing coalition led by the far right is widely predicted to emerge victorious. Pietro Castelli Gattinara and Caterina Froio explain how Italy got here, and the significance of the expected result.
The contribution from the Scandinavian far right – the Danish People’s Party (DF) and the Sweden Democrats (SD) – to Salvini's alliance, the European Alliance of People and Nations, is likely to be very small. In short, because DF is losing support and because SD is uninterested in joining.
Who will the Norwegian election this fall? While no answer can be definite until election has passed, the large amount of available data allows probabilistic answers. In the past, media coverage of Norwegian elections and popular party support has focused on single polls or averages of polls at best. This is suboptimal, because each poll contains random noise and systematic bias, which makes it hard to accurately gauge how party support develops over time. Furthermore, opinion polls are snapshots and do not directly address the question of how support is likely to develop in the future. To make better use of the data, Jørgen Bølstad has developed a Bayesian model of latent party support and made the results publicly available at estimite.com. In his presentation, Bølstad will introduce the new model and its outputs, including some results that are not available online. He will also give a brief description of the project and how the webpage is built and updated.
Despite the electoral implosion of what was considered one the most successful far-right parties in Western Europe - the Danish People’s Party - Denmark remains a stronghold for far-right politics.
Hvem vinner stortingsvalget? Selv om ingen vet noe sikkert før valget har funnet sted, har vi en mengde data som gjør det mulig å svare i form av sannsynligheter.
Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz party wins the Hungarian national elections again, securing a two-thirds majority parliament for their fourth consecutive term.
Sunday's general elections in Finland have pushed out the Social Democrats, and put the National Coalition Party and the far-right Finns Party in first and second place respectively. But what is the overall trend, and what does it mean for the Finnish far right beyond the Finns Party?
What will be the final outcome of the European election and how will this affect Norway? Prominent researchers, journalists and politicians will discuss this during our event at Arendalsuka.
The April 2021 Bulgarian Parliamentary elections showed a nationalist shift in the political landscape. There has been a rise in more banal forms of nationalist participation represented by the new Ima Takuv Narod party while the more ultra-nationalist formations such as IMRO and NFSB seek consolidation for the next round of elections in July.
Ireland’s general election on 8 February saw a proliferation of radical right-wing candidates but did not herald the expected breakthrough of these parties. As Shaun McDaid explains, the little support for the radical right in Ireland is mainly explained by the ability of the political left to more effectively mobilise the electorate on issues other than immigration. While not counting on imminent success, the radical right in Ireland might nevertheless have the stamina to play the long game.
Over the last few weeks, the Dutch radical right has used curfew controversy to portray the government as a danger to the freedom of the average citizen. C-REX scholar Iris Beau Segers asks if the liberal-conservative VVD party might have themselves to blame, and argues that their ‘doctrine of normalcy’ has mainstreamed radical right ideas that now pose a challenge to the government’s covid-19 measures.
On April 24, 2022, French voters had to decide on their new president. Although Emmanuel Macron was re-elected with 58.54% of the vote, Marine Le Pen, candidate of the Rassemblement National, had never been this close to winning presidential elections. Indeed, she has progressed throughout the campaign, obtaining a historical score under the Fifth Republic of 41.46% of the vote – an increase of 7.56% compared to 2017.
The Swedish general elections are held on 11 September. This upcoming election in Sweden shows how quickly and willingly mainstream right parties adjust their policies and strategies if the only way to power goes through the far right.
RightNow! editor Iris Beau Segers summarizes the year 2021 on the blog. What have C-REX scholars, affiliates and guest contributors written about prominent events and elections, ideological trends, right-wing violence and terrorism, and more?