Whether
societies of men are really capable or not,
of establishing good government from reflection and
choice, or whether they are for ever destined to depend,
for their political constitutions, on accident and force'
(The Federalist Papers, No 1).
Constituting government
The theme of this paper is the dynamics
through which political order and organized government is constituted
and re-constituted in democratic contexts. Attention is on how
basic political rules evolve and change and the possible significance
of reflection, deliberate design and explicit constitutional policy
(Verfassungspolitik). That is, how constitution making
may, and may not, turn a political system with enduring tensions
and conflicts into an organized system of democratic governance,
cooperation and problem solving. In democratic contexts this implies
an understanding of how support is mobilized and acquiescence,
agreement and allegiance is achieved.
Focus is on the following puzzle. In
the literature, it is commonplace to argue that democracies require
constitutional rules in order to function well. It is assumed
that there are significant benefits of a legitimate and durable
constitutional order. In particular, constitutional rules provide
a framework that makes it easier to regulate and limit conflict
and secure civilized co-existence. Democratic constitutions are
assumed to balance unity and diversity. They are supposed to prevent
arbitrary discretion and create predictability by regulating the
power following from winning (and loosing) elections and governmental
positions and by regulating the legitimate use of individual and
group resources. Furthermore, the doctrine of popular sovereignty,
as an important part of the democratic creed, suggests that citizens
should be able to make and unmake their constitutions and institutions.
Developing political institutions
of self-governance is a first-order political process and human
will, intelligence and power are supposed to play a key role in
constitutional and institutional change. Democratic governance
signifies an ability to purposefully shape political and social
life. Institutions are understood as a means to achieve human purposes
and constitutional change is seen as the deliberate manipulation
of formal rules and structures in order to improve human conditions.
Yet, it is also commonplace to observe
that it is difficult to agree on comprehensive constitutional
change in democracies. Radical reorganization of a polity with
a single scheme at a specific point in time is unlikely to be
politically digestible. Actual reforms are usually incremental
rather than comprehensive and attempts of re-constituting government
through radical reform often create stalemates, confrontation
and crises. In general, it seems to be easier for democracies
to live with durable tensions and to cope with conflict in routine
politics than at ‘constitutional moments’. It also seems to be
easier to agree on political practices and rules than to agree
on how those practices and rules can be described, explained and
justified.
The puzzle suggests a need to develop
a better theoretical understanding of the dynamics through which
democratic constitutional orders are constituted and re-constituted.
There is a need to specify the conditions under which the democratic vision of enlightened self-governance is viable, and reflection
and purposeful constitutional
change is likely to be a significant part of constitutional
transformations. In particular, we are interested in how characteristics
of the institutional context in which constitutional change takes
place, as well as the organization of the change process itself,
may influence to what extent humans are capable of establishing
political order from reflection and choice. That is, to
what degree and in what ways
democratic contexts make comprehensive constitutional reform,
based on deliberate design and choice, politically needed, legitimate
and feasible (Olsen 1997b).
Democracy is
a distinct political order that provides a distinct historical-institutional
context for governance and constitutional change. Democracy signifies
a set of historically evolving political ideals, principles, and
identities, as well as a changing collection of accumulated institutional
practices, rules and distributions of rights, obligations and
resources (March and Olsen 1995). Constitutional rules and change procedures
achieve legitimacy from the consent of the governed. Agreement
and allegiance are based on argumentation, persuasion and compromises,
more than on commands and coercion. The effectiveness of governance
ultimately rests on the loyalties of the governed and on their
willingness to comply with legitimate rules and authorities and
provide resources to the polity (Ferguson and Mansbach 1996: 382).
Constitutional democracy is a special type of regime based on
the philosophy of limited government and the aspiration to tame
political power and constrain majorities.
The
paper starts out with three stylised interpretations of how constitutional
transformation can take place in democratic contexts (part 2).
These frames are based on different conceptions of political actors,
institutions and change and different understandings of the relationship
between human agency, institutions and the flow of history. They
portray the constitution and re-constitution of organized government
as a result of respectively constitutional design and choice,
evolution and gardening. The three interpretations are not discrete
and exclusive; they supplement and create preconditions for each
other. Together they suggest a repertoire of change processes
further elaborated within organization theory (March 1981). An
inquiry into the mechanisms assumed to guarantee agreement and
allegiance within each of the three frames is then used as a starting
point for discussing how some organizational properties may make
democratic polities better able to cope with conflicts in routine
politics than at constitutional moments. Focus in part 3 is on
constitutional conventions as fairly open structures and routine
governance as usually performed within more specialized structures
of attention and access for participants, problems and solutions
(Cohen, March and Olsen 1972).
In the last part of the paper, these
ideas are applied to a specific historical-institutional context:
the European Union. Political theories of constitutional change
are to a large extent state-centered and based on ideas, language and institutional
templates with roots far back in history, such as the English,
American and French revolutionary experience (Bellamy and Castiglione
1996, Alexander 2001). One question in part 4 is to what degree
such ideas are adequate for understanding constitutional change
in a rather different historical and institutional context - a
contemporary context characterized by peaceful cooperation rather
than war and revolution, and at the supranational rather than
the national level. Are the ideas helpful for making sense of
the current large-scale European experiment of constituting a
political union of well-established nation-states? A second question
is: what can students of constitutional and institutional dynamics
learn from the ongoing transformation of the European system of
governance? Will watching ‘government begin’ in the European context
make it necessary to reconsider existing understandings of how
organized government is constituted and reconstituted?
Constitutional design,
evolution and gardening
A constitution deals with how a group
of people organizes and governs themselves politically. Constitutions
prescribe a political order. They specify the basic institutions
of government, their powers, responsibilities and interrelations.
They outline the normative principles on which government is to
be based and the ideas that explain and justify the rules. Most
constitutions
also include rules specifying the appropriate ways of establishing
constitutional arrangements and rules for orderly amendments.
Then, through what processes are
constitutive rules and government instituted? If such rules have an effect on power relations
and how welfare and life chances are allocated, how are conflicts
over such rules coped with at constitutional moments and in other
political-organizational contexts? For example, how
is agreement achieved to impose legitimate constraints on the
sovereign power of democratically elected decision makers and
under what conditions is it tolerated that a minority is binding
a majority, or one generation is binding the next one (Elster
1988a)?
Unsurprisingly, there are competing accounts of the nature of constitutions,
the processes through which they change and the factors used to
account for constitutional developments. Historically, and inspired
by in particular American and British experiences, constitutional
change has often been interpreted either instrumentally, as a
matter of deliberate purpose, design and choice among alternative
arrangements; or as the outcome of organic, evolutionary processes
(Mill 1861). This paper joins the tradition, but suggests three
frames for understanding constitutional dynamics - constitutional
design, evolution and gardening.
[1]
A distinction is also made between an expediency perspective and a normative
perspective. In an expediency perspective constitutional
arrangements are interpreted as a negotiated order and a result
of voluntary exchange among self-interested actors with pre-determined
given preferences. The efficiency of dispute resolution is depending
on the characteristics and quality of opportunity structures,
formal contracts, gains of trade, side-payments and simulated
market exchanges.
[2]
The key is to understand the nature of tensions and conflicts and then
to eliminate ‘negotiation barriers’, that is, obstacles to rational
exchange and successful conflict resolution (Arrow et al. 1995,
also Vanberg and Buchanan 1989).
Constitutional developments can also
be seen as part of a normative project and as symbolizing
a collective identity and constitutive norms beyond immediate
expediency and functional efficiency - including who
citizens are and want to be, and what they see as constituting
good governance and a good society. Constitutional politics
is then not limited solely to efficient aggregation of pre-established
preferences. Change and dispute resolution also involve modification
of normative beliefs and identities. Citizens accept principles
and rules not as external constraints to be taken into account
in individual calculations, but as internalised normative imperatives
or guidelines. Constitutional
reform involves more than making decisions and implementing political
purposes. Reforms provide an occasion for deliberation,
learning and education - for interpreting purposes, meaning and symbols,
developing shared concepts of civic virtue, justice, legitimate
rule and power; and for building
new relationships and creating
or reaffirming a sense of community and collective identity
(March and Olsen 1976, 1983, 1986, 1995, Olsen 1997a, 1998, 2001a,b).
Constitutional design. The constitutional design-frame assumes that government is constituted
through a specific foundational process. It emphasizes the purposes,
knowledge and power of an identifiable set of actors (‘founders’)
and deliberate choices at specific points in time (Edington 1975).
[3]
The key premises are that alternative constitutions
make a difference; that designers know the effects of institutional
alternatives; that there is a choice among constitutions and that
designers control the choice. In sum, constitutions are the instrument
of constitution-makers and political development is planned and
willed. An adequate understanding
of why some constitutional arrangement is chosen over others,
requires knowledge about who are the ‘founders’, what they try
to achieve, how and why they come to believe that a certain alternative
will best achieve their objectives, and how and why they succeed
in getting the necessary support for their views.
Here, attention is on the Constitutional
Convention model known from, for example, the American experience
in 1776 and the French in 1789-91 (Elster 1992). Organized government
is constituted through an original and exceptional act at a privileged
point in time and by a special representative body, a constituent
assembly. Constitution making and governance are separated. As
argued by Paine, a constitution is the act of a people constituting
government. All power exercised over a nation must have some beginning
and government without a constitution is power without a right
(Paine 1984: 185). The key role of the people is also reflected
in current visions of constitutions as acts of higher law in the
name of ‘We the People’ (Ackerman 1993).
For the Federalists, constituting a
common government would make it possible to do things each state
could not do separately. Still, a major task was to limit the
exercise of political power and prevent misuse. The selfish nature
of both rulers and ruled was taken as given. Neither were angels
and external incentives were needed to guarantee the common good.
Government had been instituted because the passions of men will
not conform to the dictates of reason and justice without constraint.
Ambition had to counteract ambition. Power had to be pitted against
power. Focus was primarily on changing legal rules and incentives,
not moral and ethical codes of conduct and peoples’ minds and
emotions. Sentiments and a feeling of unity could not be created
through a constitutional act at a given point in time. Rather,
an existing unity and shared interest were to be expressed in
the constitution. (Hamilton, Jay and Madison 1964: 122-3). As
observed by Wolin (1960: 389-90), there was no theory of how constitutions
and political organization could educate citizens.
[4]
In
sum, the constitutional convention was portrayed as an occasion
for epochal decisions, a break with the past, and a decision difficult
to amend. Yet, in order to secure a peaceful continuity, rather
than an accumulation of errors, stagnation and revolution, rules
for future amendments were needed. The system had to be able to
benefit from experiences and correct mistakes, ‘which they inevitably
fall into’ (Hamilton, Jay and Madison 1964: 166). Reconciling
continuity and flexibility was difficult, but elasticity could
be promoted by making the constitution deal only with the most
general elements of government. Paine also suggested that constitutions
should have a fixed period. Every seven years a new Convention
should be elected, so that improvements could be made based on
experiences (Paine 1984: 185-191).
Constitutional evolution. Within the constitutional evolution frame,
the role of political actors and processes is less heroic. Constitutional
change is the product of human action, but identifiable actors
do not design constitutions at a specific point in time.
Institutions, as collections of rules and practices, are
part of a cultural heritage with a value beyond expediency and
immediate instrumental utility. Society is basically self-organizing.
Political development is a result of ‘organic’ growth and historic
evolution. Constitutions evolve slowly and incrementally as practical
experiences, political compromises, judicial precedents and customary
practices are encoded into constitutional rules. The rules reflect
the accumulated collective intelligence, morals and power-balances
of a country.
For example, Burke was in favour of
a settled scheme of government that had proved its worth, against
any untried project and grand revolutionary plan. The corporate
structure that kept society together depended on deep-seated feelings
of love and loyalty and only to a limited degree on conscious
will, reason and the calculation of self-interest. The settled
scheme would guarantee a constitution ‘made by what is ten thousand
times better than choice, it is made by peculiar circumstances,
occasions, tempers, dispositions, and moral, civil and social
habitudes of the people, which disclose themselves only in a long
space of time’ (Burke 1856: 147). Burke warned against ‘contriving
politicians’, with speculative, radical and abstract plans for
new and untried constitutions and institutions. Such arrangements
would not work simply because they would lack the familiarity
and habitual respect and positive sentiment of the established
arrangements.
[5]
Burke
underscored the relevance of history. The constitution was seen
as having deep roots in the past. It had grown out of the past
with no break of continuity (Burke 1856: 146). The people were
seen as an organized group with a history and institutions, and
with deep-seated loyalties, morals and a sense of belonging to
something larger and more enduring than oneself. Society was a
partnership between ‘those who are living, those who are dead,
and those who are yet to be born’ (Burke 1968: 194-5). Experience
was the best test, and the authority of the constitution was based
on the fact that it had been tested through time and that it had
successfully served the community. For Burke, the individual was
foolish, but the species was wise and would over time always act
right. A basic premise was that a historical process of competitive
selection systematically would eliminate the constitutional rules
and institutions that failed to serve the community, functionally
and in terms of its normative traditions. Stepwise reforms would
be possible and desirable, however, if the goal was to alleviate
a clear and present evil in society; if reforms were in accordance
with the habits and spirits of its people and history and not
based on general rules and principles; and if the aim was change
in order to preserve.
Constitutional gardening. The constitutional gardening-frame portrays
political actors as purposeful, bounded rational and neither omnipotent
or impotent. Constitutions
cannot be designed and reformed at will in arbitrary ways, but
political intervention and leadership is possible. Constitutions and institutions are partly malleable
through piecemeal political reform and a continuous ‘constitutional conversation’. Historical change is guided but not
controlled in detail according to any grand plan.
For
example, Popper (1961) observed that few social institutions have
been consciously designed. The vast majority have just ‘grown’,
as the unintended result of human action. Holistic re-constitution
of the political system and the remodelling of human beings were
beyond the capabilities of political actors, as well as normatively
unacceptable. Still, there was a role for ‘piecemeal social engineering’.
Political ends could be achieved by continuous small adjustments
and re-adjustments. Improvements could be gained, and the causes
of harm, injustice and discontent could be removed, because the
piecemeal social engineer knew how to learn from mistakes by proceeding
step-by-step and carefully comparing the results achieved. In
the same vain, Offe has suggested that piecemeal reformers can
exploit windows of opportunity and capture situational options
for establishing agreements on new rules or institutions as they
emerge. ‘Creative opportunism’, based on ad hoc-proposals, mixed
and impure rather than clear principles, priorities and a master
plan, will possibly be ‘the closest approximation to the notion
of institutional design that we find in the real world of politics’
(Offe 2001: 368).
However, a constitution must possess
a certain unity and internal coherence, so that appeals to it
may be meaningful and capable of carrying conviction (Castiglione
1996: 7). A complication then is that piecemeal reform, at least
under certain conditions, tends to create a chaotic system and
eventually to generate demands for comprehensive, planned reform
to re-establish system coherence and unity of purpose (March and
Olsen 1983). Therefore, in order to turn piecemeal reformers into
constitutional gardeners, step-wise change cannot be governed
by randomly generated exogenous events. Such reforms need to be
given a sense of direction and purpose by continuous constitutional
conversations, including a critical debate over legitimate preferences,
interests and identities (Chambers 1998, Slaughter, Stone Sweet
and Weiler 1998). Popper, for example, saw institutionalized free
competition of thought as a precondition for progress. He also
argued that a proper role for the social sciences was to study
proposals for social improvements and critically assess whether
or not a particular reform would be likely to produce an expected,
or desired, result (Popper 1961: 58). According to Habermas (1996),
the need to justify constitutional reform proposals by giving
reasons in public may also foster ‘constitutional patriotism’,
peaceful dispute resolution, and a sense of allegiance and mutual
recognition.
In brief, piecemeal reforms supported
by a continuous constitutional conversation, may over time make
it possible for democracies to develop a consistent normative
project. Constitutional gardeners then have some long-term normative
standards that make it possible to recognize constitutional weeds
and to turn incremental reforms into a unified, coherent constitution.
Along the way, individual preferences, collective values, norms
and identities are contested through critical debate. They are
dynamic, not stable.
A repertoire of change processes. Sketching the three frames of interpretation
is only a first step towards understanding under what conditions
enlightened reflection and choice will be important in constitutional
change. First, the three frames are not mutually exclusive and there
is no exact metric that tells when radical design turns into piecemeal
reforms, or Popperian piecemeal engineering shade into Burkean
‘reforms to conserve’ or an historical drift not intended by any
identifiable decision makers. Second, the frames are not
exhausting the relevant processes of change. For example, the
frequent observation of ‘epidemics’ of constitution making suggests
the significance of processes of imitation and diffusion (Loewenstein
1951: 151). Likewise, Bagehot observed the relevance of processes
of regeneration and a shift of generations. A
new constitution could not be expected to produce its full effect
as long as all its subjects were reared under an old constitution,
and as long as its statesmen were trained by that old constitution
(Bagehot 1961: 10,11). Change can only be observed over long
intervals of time, in particular when it came to changes in mentalities.
Most likely, a well-developed theory of the dynamics of constituting
and re-constituting organized government would require the reconciliation
of different time-perspectives on change. It would include long-term
linear trends such as democratization and constitutionalization;
countervailing and period-specific cyclical change such as between
centralization and decentralization; and situational, moment-specific
change when single events or decisions create perturbations around
a trend or cycle. Such a theory would also require a reconciliation
of several processes and logics of political change. The three
frames would have to be ‘unpacked’ and decomposed into specific
processes and mechanisms. For example, deliberate design and choice,
evolution and competitive selection, socialization, piecemeal
social engineering, learning, deliberation, imitation, diffusion
and regeneration, would have to be supplemented with processes
like war and coercion, as well as historical coincidences and
chance.
The list may, however, be limited rather
than indefinitely long. All institutionalized
systems of governance develop a repertoire of experience-based
standard operating procedures and processes of change for dealing
with changing circumstances (March 1981, March, Schultz and Zhou
2000). While the different processes may combine and interact
in complex ways and their significance may be difficult to disentangle,
a specification of the scope conditions of each process would
be helpful for developing a better understanding of constitutional
change.
[6]
In particular, under what conditions is deliberate,
radical change in constitutive rules likely to produce agreement,
acceptance and allegiance rather than confrontation and conflict?
A modest step in this direction is to ask how diversity, tensions
and conflict are dealt with and what characteristics of democratic
institutions make it easier to cope with conflict in routine politics
than at constitutional moments.
Achieving agreement and allegiance
It is frequently observed that there
are limits to what constitutional reform a democratic political
system can digest at a single point in time. In general, it seems to be
complicated to reach agreement on the identity and the fundamental
principles of
a
polity and attempts
of radical change tend to generate conflict (Russel 1993,
Zielonka
2001). Constitutional rules are symbolic representations and a
new constitution founded on new principles of organization and
legitimization is likely to be contested, not least because of the impact on strong symbols (von Beume 2001: 6). Mobilizing support and
achieving agreement and allegiance then become key processes and
the legitimacy of the change process tends to be one
important determinant of
whether change is accepted or revolted against. How, then, is
conflict assumed to be overcome by constitutional designers, constitutional
evolution and constitutional gardeners?
Mechanisms of acceptance and allegiance. Paine assumed acceptance and allegiance based
on the procedures of representative government. Even a large minority
would accept majority decisions, because they were supposed to
believe in the principle of majority governance (Paine 1984: 190).
The Federalists, however, observed that limited changes and single
propositions were easier to accomplish than a complete new constitution
(Hamilton, Jay and Madison 1964: 165).
In addition to common needs and utility, they appealed
to social and cultural unity - one united people with the same
ancestors, speaking the same language, professing the same religion,
attached to the same principles of government, similar in their
manners and customs, and sharing the experience of fighting a
long and bloody war together (Hamilton, Jay and Madison 1964:
7). In fact, the Federalist Papers were written
as an attempt to explain and justify the need for a stronger federal
government, in order to counteract the expected conflict over
ratification of the proposed constitution.
Burke presupposed acceptance and allegiance
based on strong socialization into a community of causal and normative
beliefs. Even those occupying the lowest positions in society
would acquiesce. They would do so due to their feeling of moral
obligation, following from their belonging to a society and the
values and traditions cherished by that society. Competitive
selection would over time eliminate constitutional rules and institutions
inconsistent with the spirit of the (successful) community (Burke
1782, 1790).
Popper took as given that it was easier
to get political acceptance of smaller changes through ongoing
bargaining and fact finding. He based acceptance and allegiance
on the system’s ability to learn from piecemeal reforms and experiments
(Popper 1961). Likewise, Habermas and others have faith in
the ability of democratic systems to reach agreement through force-free
deliberation (Habermas 1996, 2001, Eriksen and Fossum 2000). Learning aspirations
are in general high in modern democracies. The expectation is
that experience will improve the intelligence, effectiveness and
adaptability of governance. Experiential learning is supposed
to enable governments to detect and counteract failures, to revise or eliminate rules that do not serve citizens well, and to improve their performance record as well
as the polity's fitness for the future (March and Olsen 1995,
Olsen and Peters 1996). Informed citizens and officials are supposed
to learn realistic expectations when it comes to what different
institutions can and cannot do. Therefore, in an ideal democracy,
equilibrium institutional solutions are assumed to be common.
That is, no actors are likely to act so as to radically defy existing
institutions. The democratic challenge is not to make great designs
and big leaps possible, but to foster the continuous learning
and adaptation that make such leaps unnecessary (Olsen 1997b).
The
bounded legitimacy and the imperfections of each change process
are, however, well known. For example, the doctrine of constitutional
democracy reflects the limited legitimacy of majority government
as a mechanism for dispute resolution. Neither is there agreement
about what can be achieved by changing legally valid constitutions.
In political science it has long been contested whether written
constitutions play a vital role in the life of democracies, as
well as what explanatory power can be assigned to constitutions
compared to political, military, economic and social forces (Finer
1950, Loewenstein 1951). Studies of formal organizations also
suggest that action is rarely uniquely specified by rules (March,
Schultz and Zhou 2000: 23) and that change in rules may be loosely
coupled to behavior and functional performance (Meyer and Rowan
1977, Brunsson 1989).
Processes
of competitive selection are also imperfect for resolving disputes,
inter alia because political
systems tend to eliminate the variations required by competitive
selection. Institutions are influenced by, but not completely dominated by their
functional and normative environments. Neither is system identification
a guarantee against social discontent and conflict over constitutive
rules. Citizens are unlikely to be so thoroughly and consistently
socialized as Burke suggested and different institutions socialize
citizens into partly competing identities and belief systems.
For example, some come to think that the constitution is what
the judges say it is. Others see democratically elected representatives
as the legitimate interpreters of constitutive rules, or they
do not want binding constitutional rules at all. Furthermore,
civil society, as a deliberative and communicative sphere of its
own, from time to time creates mobilization from “below” that
articulate social discontent and Zivilisationskritik. Sometimes change in a political
system can fail so badly that it generates change of the
system itself (Kochanek 1971:319).
Small and well-timed interventions
can have significant consequences when multiplied by other processes
of change (March and Olsen 1995: 44).Still, piecemeal constitutional
reforms do not necessarily solve the problem of acceptance and
allegiance. There is no guarantee that a number of loosely coupled
piecemeal reforms will accumulate to a coherent set of constitutive
rules. Piecemeal reform also does little to help remedy the problems
of calculating the consequences of constitutional change (Elster
1988b: 304, 308-9)
[7]
and such reforms tend to breed new demands for reforms rather than making reforms
redundant
(Brunsson and Olsen 1993). Furthermore, conflicting parties can
sometimes make ‘working agreements’ based on open and free public
deliberation and argumentation (Eriksen 2000: 59), but deliberation
is no panacea to achieve acceptance and allegiance. The conditions
for open and force-free deliberation are seldom met in contemporary
democracies where information often is treated as a strategic
resource or commodity of trade. Sunstein
also argues that incompletely theorized agreements are an important
source of successful constitutionalism and social stability (Sunstein
2001: 50-1). Citizens can agree on constitutional practices and
rights even when they cannot agree on constitutional theories.
In general, there are ‘many ways in
which reforms in the name of intelligence may not serve intelligence’
(March 1999a: 8). Studies of organizational learning show that
functional as well as political learning
is taking place. Yet learning is often unreliable, myopic or superstitious
and imperfections are caused by characteristics of individual
actors as well as organizational settings.
[8]
History is inefficient and institutions do
not adapt immediately and precisely to environmental changes or
deliberate reforms. The dynamics of constitutional rules are
shaped and constrained by a variety of institutional structures
and dynamics. Sometimes, institutions have an independent
ordering impact long after their designers and the problems they
were assumed to solve have disappeared (March and Olsen 1989,
March 1994a).
A preliminary conclusion is that while
political actors pursue moral and causal intelligence and political
control, no single process of constitutional change guarantees
acceptance and allegiance. Why then are tensions and conflicts accumulating in some political systems
while others are transformed through mundane processes of learning
and incremental adaptation? How does the relative importance and
the legitimacy of comprehensive constitutional
change depend on the imperfections of other change processes, such as variations in
institutional ability to learn routinely from experience and adapt
to changing circumstances?
What are the effects of organizing constitutional change in different
ways, given a certain level of enduring tensions and disputes? Why is it under normal circumstances more difficult to cope with tensions
and conflicts through a constituent assembly or Convention than
through routine politics? Which properties of contemporary
democracies and organized government make them able to live with
enduring disputes?
Coping with conflict at constitutional moments and in routine politics.
In pluralist democracies heterogeneity
and endurable differences generate demands for constitutional
guarantees for minorities. Changing the rules requires large-scale
majorities and sudden radical change of established compromises
has limited legitimacy (Weaver and Rockman 1993).
At a given level of heterogeneity, we would also expect
the need for comprehensive change to be reduced in democracies
where processes of learning and other mechanisms of adaptation
are fairly well developed. In such systems comprehensive constitutional
reforms and a radical re-constitution of government is likely
to be a rare and exceptional event.
[9]
A primary source of such change will
be unexpected external shocks, such as war, conquest
and defeat.
The less developed are routine processes
of learning and adaptation, the more likely that internal tensions
will build up. Radical change may take place in the wake of a revolution, social unrest or as the result of a financial crisis
or some other serious performance crisis. These are situations with
a breakdown in
institutionalized arrangements for dispute resolution where it
becomes obvious that extraordinary
solutions are required. Then a constitutional debate and reform
may be triggered. Major external
shocks or internal breakdowns create drama and focus collective
attention. They may focus attention on common destiny and shared
sentiments rather than on what divides people under normal circumstances.
Yet, in cases of long-term build-ups of tensions and disputes
focus may also reinforce historical cleavages and injustices and
challenge the unity of the polity.
Consider some
organizational
aspects of the politics of constitutional change, i.e. how open
and specialized structures organize attention and access differently.
A Convention is a fairly open organizational structure. The Convention
is likely to be highly visible and attract attention. Symbolic
matters dominate its agenda and the Convention is very likely
to mobilize a large variety of participants, problems and solutions.
The more open the decision and access structures are, and the
longer the Convention last, the more likely that constitutional
reform becomes an overloaded ‘garbage can’, making it difficult
to reach a joint decision (Cohen, March and Olsen 1972).
In routine politics,
attention and access are organized differently. An extensive use
of specialized and segmented structures has the effect that conflicts are routinely limited and curtailed. All democracies live with
tensions and contradictions between institutions, principles and
ordering ideas (Lepsius 1990: 256).
Some issues are removed from the public agenda and government
intervention. Different institutions based on different logics
regulate different aspects of political and social life.
They prescribe
partly incompatible rules and shape citizens differently. Consider
the institutional differentiation of modern society, for example
the separation of law making, execution and adjudication. Specialization
and separation into institutional spheres makes it legitimate
to give access only to a restricted number of participants. Likewise,
it becomes legitimate to pay attention to a limited number of
normative and causal considerations viewed as relevant to a specific
institution or role (Weber 1978). Sometimes tensions or collisions between institutions create
inconsistency and incoherence and becomes an important source
of change. Yet, studies of formal organizations suggest that most
of the time organizational specialization and separation of attention
and access may make a system
function in acceptable ways in spite of diversity and contradictions.
Selecting an appropriate area for joint decision-making, allocating authority
and power and balancing coordination and separation are key decisions
in all formal organizations. These are also decisions on which
organizational conflict is quite possible. The stronger the felt
need for joint decision-making, and the more collective decisions,
the more likely is conflict (March and Simon 1958: 121-22). However,
organizations develop standard mechanisms for absorbing and coping
with conflict by separating them in time and space. A number of
organizational processes, such as sequential attention, local
rationality and the creation of buffers of slack resources make
it possible to live with enduring tensions most of the time (Cyert
and March 1963).
Open structures such as a constituent
assembly at constitutional moments cannot benefit from these organizational
mechanisms for delimiting and constraining disputes. For example,
the break-up of Czechoslovakia,
where ‘the failure to create a new constitution was closely related
to the failure of keeping the country together’, illustrates that
a constitution-making process may itself
foster conflicts by bringing to the forefront divisive issues
that possibly could have been accommodated with less conflict
by other types of processes (Elster, Offe and Preuss 1998: 64). Even in a fairly homogeneous and stable
country such as Norway, an aversion against comprehensive constitutional
reform is partly based on the fear that such a reform would provoke
’unnecessary conflicts’. The frequent use of a don’t-wake-a-sleeping-bear
argument suggests that Norwegian political leaders believe that
a Convention or reform committee would not be able to cope with
conflict equally well as routine processes based on institutional
specialization and separation (Olsen 2002).
Can then these ideas on constitutional change and institutional
dynamics contribute to a better understanding
of the ongoing European political transformations and in particular
the role of reflection and deliberate choice? Can students of constitutional and institutional change learn something
new from European integration, as an attempt of supranational
and peaceful constitution making? To what degree is it necessary,
in the light of contemporary European constitutional experiences,
to modify or reject ideas that to a large extent reflect the successful
revolutions of a limited number of nation-states far back in time?
[10]
Paine (1984: 185) suggested that the attempt of the American states to
constitute a federal government was an opportunity for ‘seeing
government begin’.
[11]
However, while observing the birth of organized
government may give special insights, we are also warned by Bagehot
about the difficulty of studying an object in change, in particular
constitutional change where it may take many years to disclose
the real consequences of reforms (Bagehot 1961).
‘Seeing
government begin’ -
Europe’s
constitutional moment?
Possibly,
the European Union is in the midst of a constitutionalization
process, providing an organizational and historical context quite
different from those in which most available ideas on constitutional
change were developed. The Union is an ongoing attempt to develop
a supranational democratic political polity out of sovereign nation
states. It is an experimental Union still in flux that do not
‘fit’ the usual categories such as ‘a state’ or ‘an international
organization’ (Laffan, O’Donald and Smith 2000). While the European
political order historically has often been constituted and re-constituted
through conquest and colonization, rebellion, revolution and civil
war (Bartlett 1993, Tilly 1993), current change is
non-violent.
The challenge is to build consensus
around a political project in a situation where constitutional
reform cannot assume a shared vision of future Europe, or a common
analysis of the present situation.
Already the Preamble to the Treaty of Rome (The European Economic
Community 1957) spoke about an ‘ever closer union among the peoples
of Europe’. For some this vision has also been what the
French institutionalists called a ‘theme of development’ or a
leading and directing idea (Broderick 1970). The idea has in particular
been institutionalized in the Commission, as the ‘guardian of
the treaties’, in the European Parliament and in the European
Court of Justice. Some full-time participants in the integration
process have kept the idea alive even in periods of ‘Euro-sclerosis’.
The Union has, however, never agreed upon
a coherent long-term plan for an end point for its polity building
- a finalité politique.
There are competing purposes and partly incompatible conceptions
of the future Europe, from a federal polity to a
free market area. The meaning and significance of ‘democracy’
as a normative standard is contested (Majone 1998). There is also
disagreement about how the emerging polity can best be described,
explained, justified, consolidated or changed. Furthermore, there
is pluralism in power resources and a high level of consensus
is required for change. Because the Union is ‘the first-ever attempt
to construct democracy at a level beyond that of the nation state’,
there is no obvious precedent or blueprint model to be copied.
Neither is it clear how democracy can be organized beyond the
individual country, in a Union that covers an increasing part
of the European continent (Prodi 2001a). Finally, the causal and
moral beliefs and the identities of European citizens are still
primarily shaped by national contexts.
Constituted government. Some trends of development can be
detected. Half a century of European cooperation and integration
has produced a large-scale, heterogeneous, multi-level
and multi-centered polity. Territorial boundaries and agendas
have expanded and a dense institutional order; a quasi-federal
polity and a system of governance based on constitution-like treaties
have developed.
[12]
The Union is based on four basic treaties
and more than 700 articles, 50 protocols and 100 declarations
(Stubb 2001: 7), as well as important court decisions (Slaughter,
Stone Sweet and Weiler 1998, Weiler 1999). There has been
a development from a limited purpose organization to a full blown
polity with the expressed aim to reconcile the need for economic
competitiveness and efficiency, global influence, military security,
social inclusion and justice, ecological sustainability, democratic
governance, human rights, and protection of national identities,
language and cultural diversity and distinctiveness.
Nevertheless,
there is no agreement
whether the European Union has a constitution, whether it needs
one, and, if so, what kind of constitution is needed for what
kind of polity (Joerges, Mény and Weiler 2000). One suggestion
is that the Union has a constitution in legal terms but is lacking
a constitutional theory where its foundational values have been
worked out. The hierarchy of rules is neither rooted in a hierarchy
of normative authority nor in a hierarchy of real power (Weiler
1995, 1999, 2001).
According
to the European Commission the Union now needs ‘a text of a constitutional
nature’, a constitutional Treaty which ‘clarifies the unique organization
of European public authorities and which will enable the people
of Europe to understand that it has for the Union the same value
as a constitution for any Member State’ (European Commission 2002:
18). The aim of the Commission and its President, Romano Prodi,
is a document that clearly explains what the Union is, what it
is for, what its objectives are and what values it embody. It is argued that a political organization
along federal lines does not mean centralization of powers and
a super-state. Rather, the aspiration is to develop an
organizational model that balances effective governance at the
European level with respect of diversity, national identities
and sovereignty. A constitution is supposed to simultaneously improve
the problem solving capacity of the Union and to place limits
on the growth of Community competences; to strengthen the coordination
among member states and take greater account of the diversity
of local situations (Prodi 2001a: 3,4, European Commission 2002:
6-7). The balancing act also includes reconciling functional efficiency
and democratic control and thereby to win back the trust and support
of the citizens of Europe (Prodi 2001a: 3). Likewise, the Commission
observes the need to balance legal codification and flexibility
in a rapidly changing world (European Commission 2002: 20).
Constituting government. An incremental process of constitutional development
has characterized European integration (Kohler-Koch 1999). While
the long-term trend is clear, the emerging European constitutional order has
not been established by a single constituent assembly or changed
through a linear process. There have been succession of fits and
starts and sometimes ‘seemingly haphazard developments’ (Dehousse
and Majone 1994: 194). Periods of spurts in integration have been
followed by stagnation and Euro-sclerosis. Cycles of political
and legal integration have not always been synchronized (Slaughter, Stone Sweet and Weiler 1998, Weiler 1999).
The Union has decided on issues where near-consensus has been
achievable, and postponed the rest. Special events, such as the
ousting of the Santer Commission and the Kosovo crisis, have had
their impacts.
A standard interpretation of Union
dynamics is to see constitutional and institutional developments
as the result of voluntary bargaining among the member states - die Herren der Verträge, or ‘the masters of the treaties’
(Moravcsik 1999). There have been important treaty agreements,
but also disappointments, such as the Treaties of Amsterdam and
Nice, where it turned out to be impossible to agree on radical
reforms. An argument has been that the Union is able to negotiate
only one thing at a time (Stubb 2001). Partly as a consequence,
a process of intergovernmental conferences (IGCs) has become institutionalised.
In 15 years the Union’s basic treaties have been revised four
times, interpreted by some as a process of constitution making.
In
his studies of the Amsterdam and Nice Treaties, Sverdrup argued
that bargains among the member states involved more than an aggregation
of pre-determined preferences and powers. An adequate understanding
had to take into account how bargaining was influenced by the
institutional, normative and temporal contexts in which they took
place (Sverdrup 2002, also 2000).
Furthermore, bargaining processes, primarily involving
executives and diplomats, take place within ecology of other change
processes.
For
example, over the last 50 years, the EU has been only one of several
attempts of European integration. Compared to the other initiatives,
such as the European Free Trade Association (EFTA), the EU has
proved its attractiveness and competitiveness and has continuously
attracted new members. While there has been no ready-made template
to copy for the Union, the EU has imitated rules and ideas from
other international organizations, such as the European Convention
on Human Rights, the World Trade Organization and the OECD, as
well as from member states. Loosely coupled processes of institution-specific
learning and adaptation have also influenced the development of
the European polity. The Common Assembly, on its own initiative,
renamed itself the European Parliamentary Assembly. In 1986 the
name was formalized to the European Parliament. This change took
place after a long period of deliberate ambiguity, where the name
was different in different languages and translations, reflecting
different opinions about what the institution should be (Bainbridge
2000). Likewise, the body of people formulating the Charter of
Fundamental Rights in the European Union renamed itself ‘Convention’,
a name with clear constitutional overtones (Menéndez 2002:1).
Generally, institution specific learning and adaptation has taken
place as new institutions have tried to find their place in the
larger political order, after
they had been legally established. For example, Laffan has shown
how the European Court of Auditors, as a new institution, had
to ‘chart the difficult waters of inter-institutional relations’
in order to develop acceptable working relationships with other
institutions (Laffan 1999: 255)
Furthermore,
language development, with an increasing use of English in many
EU-fora, is also primarily a process of local adaptation (Karlsson
1999). Both language development and the rewriting of European
history books (Soysal 2002) are part of changing the cultural
basis of European governance and constitution making. The same
is true for the type of change through regeneration reflected
in the ‘banal europeanization’ taking place as new generations
through daily practices come to take their belonging to the Union
as a given fact (Cram 2001). However, while a common flag or currency
is increasingly becoming a given fact for a new generation, the
war experiences that have been so important for European integration,
may fade into the background as an older generation bent on preventing
a new war in Europe dies out.
The
‘local’ – specialized and segmented - processes of adaptation
have to a limited degree been given systematic direction by a
single European political discourse, as part of a European civic
education and identity formation. In the EU major decisions have
often been made without public debate or even notice of what was
going on. There has also been a tendency to first act and then
trying to make sense of the acts and understand what had been
done (Weiler 1999: 5). For example, the Amsterdam IGC in 1996-97
did not develop a common understanding of the shape of the future
European polity, the problems facing the EU, or the proposed solutions
(Sverdrup 2000: 253). As
late as in 1996, there was a ‘ban on talking about constitution
in Brussels’, even if that ban has now been weakened (Fossum 2000:
121). Possibly, it might also take at least one more generation
to build a truly ‘res publica Europae’ (Kühnhardt 2001).
Nevertheless, supplementing a dominant functional discourse of
European development with a democratic discourse, may be one possible
source of future constitutional dynamics. The potential is illustrated
by the problematic ratification of the (Maastricht) Treaty on
European Union (1992), involving a politicization of both its
substantive content and the change process used.
Before Maastricht, European constitutional
developments were primarily seen as part of a functional project
and a question of expediency, functional performance and effectiveness.
Nation states were cooperating to build an institutionalized action
capacity in order to achieve specific substantive results and
satisfy the interests of the member states. A basic idea was that ‘a national go-it-alone approach can no longer
be the answer for any country’ (European Commission 2002: 3).
Supranational institutions were established as impartial referees
monitoring and implementing prior bargains among member states.
Increasingly, however, constitutional
dynamics have also been driven by a normative project
and an effort to make the institutionalized action capacity
of the Union democratically responsible. A desired development
has been signalled, from market building to democracy building
with the aim to bring the European institutions ‘closer to the
citizens’ and to reduce a perceived ‘democratic deficit’ (European
Council 2001, European Council Presidency’s Conclusion 2001).
Then the key problem is not limited solely to a technical process
of efficient problem solving, finding the right tools and designing
an institutional ‘machinery’ to aggregate pre-determined preferences
and implement agreed-upon policy goals. Rather, the Union is involved
in a pursuit of meaning and identity as well as. Disputes concern
the normative foundations of the Union - the values and principles
that should underpin its institutions and their interrelations,
and the fundamental rights and obligations of its citizens. New
normative criteria for assessing good governance in a multi-level
and multi-centered polity are possibly to be developed and interpreted.
The problems of routine politics
and the faith in a Convention. A
complaint from those aiming at radical constitutional change is
that incremental processes of historical evolution, together with
local adaptations with strong elements of specialization and segmentation,
do not produce acceptable results. Continuous bargaining in intergovernmental
conferences, a decade of institutional reforms and processes of
learning and adaptation have not eliminated the need for comprehensive
change. It has also been argued that the incremental development
of the European institutional system will almost inevitably lead
to deficits and pathologies and to an opaque, inscrutable and
cumbersome system (Schuppert 1995: 360). As a polity and a system
of governance the EU is said to meet neither standards of functional
efficiency nor democratic standards. The problems are also expected
to increase when the Union is enlarged (Olsen 2001b).
The
Commission brands the intergovernmental method of revising the
treaties as the source of the problems. The method is time consuming,
with drawn-out negotiations and decisions taken in the middle
of the night by exhausted heads of state or government. It makes
the process hostage to the veto of individual states and therefore
produces timid solutions and paralysis, rather than giving an
answer what the Union wants to achieve and what the nature of
the European project is. The four basic treaties are a source
of confusion, inconsistency and reduced effectiveness. Now, the
role of the institutions should be defined within a single institutional
arrangement and all the institutions should refocus on their core
task and agree to undergo root-and-branch reform (Prodi 2001a,
European Commission 2002). According to the President of the Commission:
‘We cannot think about building a new democratic Union if we leave
the task of preparing and deciding on the new constitutional structure
of the Union to Governments and officials’ (Prodi 2001a: 3).
Throughout the history of the EU, enthusiastic
federalists have produced drafts for a federalization and constitutionalization
of the Union. Such drafts have never mobilized general support.
Currently several member states, among them the United Kingdom
and the Scandinavian countries are unlikely to want to move in
a federal direction, a development they interpret as a centralization
of power in Brussels. Neither do they see a need to rethink the
basic institutional architecture of the Union. Some want a free
market protected from governmental intervention (Economist 2000).
Some prefer intergovernmental cooperation, not more supra-nationality,
and recently important initiatives for cooperation have been initiated
outside the EU institutions. Others see further integration without
changing the treaties as an option. According to a Finish diplomat,
whenever the member states do not want to talk about change that
could be done within the existing treaties, the debate turns to
futuristic visions. But because the member states are by nature
conservative, those expecting radical treaty changes are likely
to be disappointed (Stubb 2001). Even a simplification of the
treaties is seen as problematic. For example, the Swedish prime
minister argues that treaty articles are often the result of delicate
compromises among member states. It will therefore be difficult
to simplify them without changing their content (Persson 2001:
3). For many, a constitution is a symbol related to the nation
state (Grimm 1995) and they do not want the EU to become a state.
Since most of the key terms of the constitutional debate are loaded
with symbols and interpreted differently within different political
and legal traditions, misunderstandings are also common (Joerges,
Mény and Weiler 2000).
Nevertheless,
the European Union has now pinned its faith on the Convention
model for constitutional and institutional reform – a model that
otherwise seems to work only under
very special circumstances. The ‘Declaration
on the Future of Europe’, an Annex to the Treaty of Nice,
opened up for a process of constitutionalization and the Union
has now set up a special Convention with broad representation.
Its task is to prepare a document for the next IGC in 2004 that
is supposed to revise the Treaties and possibly culminate in a
‘European Constitution.
[13]
The
Commission sees the Convention model as a deliberate break with
the past and a radically new approach to change. The Convention
is expected to ‘take the European project forward’ and to reveal
the weaknesses of other approaches to change. A strong representation
of parliamentarians is supposed to strengthen the role of the
people; to involve the European Parliament and national parliaments
more directly in the reform of the Union; to help winning back
the trust and support of the citizens of Europe and to create
a feeling of common purpose (Prodi 2001a,b). According to the
Commission, the challenge is not to give a political declaration,
or write a legal text, but to establish a constitution with real
impact on political and social life in Europe. The Commission
expects that the Convention will submit ‘a truly constitutional
text with which the people of Europe can identify and where they
can also identify their common project’. The Convention should
also confirm that ‘an à la carte Europe is not the right
option for the future development of the Union’. Furthermore, the text should serve as the basis for ‘a subsequent
renovation of the institutional system’ (European Commission 2002:
4,18).
Constitutional moment or (temporary)
equilibrium? Is it likely then that the Convention will be able to do what
executives and diplomats have not been able to accomplish so far?
Is the European Union at a crossroads, facing a constitutional
moment or has the EU reached a constitutional equilibrium? Euro-speak
is filled with grand words: Europe now ‘sets course towards new
era’. The Union ‘has launched a new constitutional phase in the
building of Europe’. A ‘historic turning point’ is expected.
[14]
The Commission sees the Union as moving toward
federalism, but it also acknowledge that the trend is by no means
certain to continue. For federalists, enlargement is viewed as
making radical institutional change even more necessary than before.
A major concern is that the increased heterogeneity following
from enlargement should not be allowed to create a stalemate,
or to reverse the trend of integration and turn the Union into
a free trade area.
Possibly
new dynamics may be generated by the Union’s search for democratic
legitimacy, including an open debate about what democracy can
mean in the European context and where democratic principles should
be applied. Schmitter, for example, argues that a full-scale
constitutionalization is currently impossible
because the member states are not ready for a ‘major overhaul
of their ruling institutions’. Such change would require that
the Union use a larger time frame and mobilize citizens in deliberation
and referenda (Schmitter 2000: 1). The Convention has focussed
transparency, democratic representation and participation, rights
and freedoms as foundational principles of the Union and these
may be themes not easily excluded again from European constitutional
politics (Menéndez 2002). Generally, Habermas has argued that
Europeans can constitute themselves as a nation of citizens based
on acceptance of common legal rules, and that constitutionalization
might encourage a new European consciousness and change current
power constellations (Habermas 2001).
Indeed,
it remains to be seen how the relative importance of democratic
criteria of institutional assessment might change as part of the
ongoing European transformations, and how the meaning of ‘democracy’
might be modified. Scharpf argues that the preconditions for a
Union operating on the basis of ‘governance by the people’ and
majority democracy are lacking and he sees legitimacy as depending
primarily upon the Union’s problem-solving capacity (Scharpf 1999).
Member states that are relatively satisfied with the current
state of affairs are also unlikely to want the Convention to produce
a unanimous constitution-like text proposing precise, detailed
and radical change. After a discussion of functional and democratic
factors that might generate new dynamics or maintain status quo,
Moravcsik (2002) also concludes that the EU is approaching the
end of a decade of institutional reform. In his opinion we already
glimpse the constitutional compromise that is likely to remain
stable and be the end point of European integration for the foreseeable
future. There will be no super-state but a more narrow and weaker
federation than the existing national ones.
Establishing
a constitutional Convention, the Union has locked itself into
an organizational framework where the price of failure is likely
to be high, possibly so high that the EU cannot afford a complete
failure. Nevertheless, the Convention will attract considerable
attention as well as a large number of participants and issues.
It can easily become an overcrowded ‘garbage can’ preventing radical
decisions on change. In addition, after a spurt in integration
since the mid-1980s the Union may have entered a new cycle and
a period of consolidation, or a retreat to inter-governmentalism,
where the Council confirm or further strengthen its leading role.
The disappearance of the cold war and increased support for right-wing
nationalism and populism may work in the same direction.
In
general, the analytical framework of the paper and the history
of the EU suggest that in the absence of a major crisis and ‘great
mentality-shaping events’ (Habermas 1988: 12) - changing who and
what Europeans identify with - a formal codification of earlier
achievements of integration is more likely than a radical change
in the European political order. Probably, further constitutionalization
and institutionalisation is likely to be a process stretched out
in time, rather than a discrete act by the Convention and the
next IGC in 2004. Most likely, the convention will be part of
a long-term process, stretching backwards in time as well as far
into the future.
Conclusion
The
aim of the paper is, however, not to predict the outcome of the
European Convention. Focus is on some basic questions in political
theory about how organized government is constituted and re-constituted.
The aspiration is to contribute to a better theoretical understanding
of the processes through which political order is established
and changed in democratic contexts. A key questions is: Are available
ideas about constitutional and institutional dynamics, developed
in quite different historical and institutional contexts, of any
help for understanding the current dynamics of an emerging multi-level
and multi-centered polity, or do current developments in Europe
invite a major rethinking, revision or rejection of these ideas?
The
European Union has transcended the old European habit of changing
the political order by force. Still, the Union has struggled with
old and well-known problems of re-constituting organized government
by reflection and choice. Like in other polities, it has been
difficult to achieve agreement and allegiance when radical change
and comprehensive designs have been proposed. Again, like other
polities the EU has been better able to live and cope with tensions
and conflicts through routine politics than through a constitutive
assembly. A key observation is that the EU has been facing a variety
of challenges and balancing acts well known from other polities.
Rather than behaving like a polity sui generis, the Union
has coped by using a repertoire of change processes, frequently
observed in other organized settings. Some institutional gardeners
have had their loadstar – ‘an ever closer Union – but that vision
has always been challenged. Change has usually been incremental
and it has been taking place in specialized and segmented structures.
Likewise, there have been ‘pockets’ of debate rather than a common
public sphere with debates about the future of Europe. Often practice
has come first. Interpretation, explanation and justification
of change have come afterwards. In brief, a new polity is developing
primarily through familiar political and organizational processes. The imperfections of these processes have created tensions and
demands for comprehensive reform that it has been difficult for
the Union to deal with at any single crossroads.
If
European integration is currently in a period of consolidation,
it becomes important to avoid myopic theories based solely on
the most recent developments. Understanding the political development
of the European Union, like the developments of other polities,
includes making sense of the interaction between changes in long-term
trends of integration and cooperation, cyclical and period specific
differences in the tempo of integration and disintegration, and
situation-specific events that are creating windows of opportunities
where small interventions can create significant effects. We also
have to observe that changes in legal rules, in political institutions
of governance, and in language, identities and the cultural basis
of EU-governance, are likely to follow different patterns and
have different rhythms.
One
possible conclusion is that European developments have so far
reconfirmed, rather than fundamentally challenged available theoretical
ideas about constitutional and institutional change. The European
Union has avoided coercion, yet it has not invented a panacea
for improving significantly the role of reflection and choice
in the development of political institutions and constitutions.
Still,
like Bagehot, we should not expect reforms to produce their full effects as long as citizens and leaders have been
reared under an old order. The Union is
in the midst of a process that involves developing an institutionalized
capacity for collective action and efficient problem solving.
Likewise, the EU is involved in a search for foundational principles
that can give the Union a feeling of common purpose and direction
and make its action capability accountable. In the process some
key concepts, such as ‘democracy’, ‘federalism’ and ‘constitutionalism’
are likely to be given new meanings and new institutional embeddings.
Along
the way, the European Union faces ‘collisions’ between national
political systems and constitutional traditions that can lead
to constructive tensions and constitutional and institutional
innovations and reinterpretations. Yet the collisions can also
be a source of destructive conflicts and system breakdown. The
exact conditions for the different trajectories are difficult
to specify, but the institutional framework for resolving disputes
now established at the European level makes the first trajectory
more likely than the latter.
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