Alexis Akira Toda, University of California San Diego, "Housing Bubbles with Phase Transitions"

Department seminar. Alexis Akira Toda is an Associate Professor of Economics at the University of California San Diego. He will present the paper: "Housing Bubbles with Phase Transitions" (written with Tomohiro Hirano).

A photograph of Alexis Akria Toda

Alexis Akira Toda
Source: https://alexisakira.github.io/

Abstract

We analyze equilibrium housing prices in an overlapping generations model with perfect housing and rental markets. The economy exhibits a two-stage phase transition: as the income of home buyers rises, the equilibrium regime changes from fundamental to bubble possibility, where fundamental and bubbly equilibria can coexist. With even higher incomes, fundamental equilibria disappear and housing bubbles become a necessity. Even with low current incomes, housing bubbles may emerge if home buyers have access to credit or have high future income expectations. Contrary to widely-held beliefs, fundamental equilibria in the possibility regime are inefficient despite housing being a productive non-reproducible asset.

 

Link to the paper.

 

The seminar will be held in room 1249 (12th floor) at Eilert Sundts Hus. The address is Moltke Moes vei 31.

Published Jan. 30, 2024 4:31 PM - Last modified May 6, 2024 9:51 AM