Life-Cycle Bias and the Returns to Schooling in Current and Lifetime Earnings

Published in

IZA Discussion Paper No. 5788

Abstract

This paper uses a unique data set with nearly career-long earnings histories to provide evidence on the returns to schooling in current and lifetime earnings. We use these results to assess the importance of life-cycle bias in earnings regressions using current earnings as a proxy for lifetime earnings. To account for the endogeneity of schooling, we apply three commonly used identification strategies. Our estimates demonstrate a strong life-cycle bias, often exceeding the bias from assuming that schooling is exogenous. We further explore the problems caused by life-cycle bias in research on the economic returns to schooling, and discuss possible remedies.

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By Manudeep Bhuller, Magne Mogstad, and Kjell G. Salvanes
Published Mar. 23, 2015 11:20 AM